Persistent high pressure over the region is sustaining mostly sunny conditions and limiting cloud cover, with official forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicating daytime maxima near 29°C for August 23. Sea of Marmara moderation combined with light northeasterly flow caps extreme warming, while urban heat island effects and precise station measurement timing create narrow uncertainty that concentrates market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 28–30°C, supports this tight spread; minor model variations in peak timing or localized advection could differentiate the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
29°C 45%
28°C 43%
30°C 20.4%
31°C 2.6%
$26,952 ปริมาณ
$26,952 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
35%
29°C
45%
30°C
20%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 43%
30°C 20.4%
31°C 2.6%
$26,952 ปริมาณ
$26,952 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
$455 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,688 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$858 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$1,045 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$5,156 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,031 ปริมาณ
35%
29°C
$4,409 ปริมาณ
45%
30°C
$2,337 ปริมาณ
20%
31°C
$2,205 ปริมาณ
3%
32°C
$2,426 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$1,342 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the region is sustaining mostly sunny conditions and limiting cloud cover, with official forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicating daytime maxima near 29°C for August 23. Sea of Marmara moderation combined with light northeasterly flow caps extreme warming, while urban heat island effects and precise station measurement timing create narrow uncertainty that concentrates market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 28–30°C, supports this tight spread; minor model variations in peak timing or localized advection could differentiate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,952วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the region is sustaining mostly sunny conditions and limiting cloud cover, with official forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicating daytime maxima near 29°C for August 23. Sea of Marmara moderation combined with light northeasterly flow caps extreme warming, while urban heat island effects and precise station measurement timing create narrow uncertainty that concentrates market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 28–30°C, supports this tight spread; minor model variations in peak timing or localized advection could differentiate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,952วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the region is sustaining mostly sunny conditions and limiting cloud cover, with official forecasts from sources like the Met Office indicating daytime maxima near 29°C for August 23. Sea of Marmara moderation combined with light northeasterly flow caps extreme warming, while urban heat island effects and precise station measurement timing create narrow uncertainty that concentrates market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C. Historical August climatology, with average highs of 28–30°C, supports this tight spread; minor model variations in peak timing or localized advection could differentiate the leading outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย