Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 13%
16°C or below <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
13%
18°C
1%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
60%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 20%
19°C 19%
17°C 13%
16°C or below <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
16°C or below
$200 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$91 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$6 ปริมาณ
19%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$91 ปริมาณ
60%
22°C
$257 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$215 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$236 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$313 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$184 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,647วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,647วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from meteorological agencies position Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 23 near 20–21°C, driven by clear skies promoting radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions, with light northerly winds limiting mixing. This consensus concentrates market-implied probabilities on the 21°C outcome at 59%, reflecting traders' assessment of model guidance and historical August minima averaging 18–22°C. Minor spread toward 19–20°C outcomes accounts for forecast uncertainty ranges in official runs, while warmer or cooler extremes remain low-probability given the absence of frontal systems or anomalous moisture. Updated model guidance over the next 12–24 hours, incorporating new observational data, could shift resolution near these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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