Current forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles project an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 24 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus arises from high-pressure dominance promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara at roughly 24°C sea-surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, temperature spreads remain narrow, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 23 will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C or higher 49%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
24%
19°C
20%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
20%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
49%
28°C or higher 49%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$11 ปริมาณ
24%
19°C
$5 ปริมาณ
20%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
21°C
$5 ปริมาณ
28%
22°C
$5 ปริมาณ
28%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
25°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$140 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C or higher
$150 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles project an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 24 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus arises from high-pressure dominance promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara at roughly 24°C sea-surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, temperature spreads remain narrow, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 23 will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$331วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles project an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 24 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus arises from high-pressure dominance promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara at roughly 24°C sea-surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, temperature spreads remain narrow, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 23 will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$331วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles project an overnight low near 22°C for Istanbul on August 24 under clear skies and light northeast winds. This consensus arises from high-pressure dominance promoting radiative cooling overnight, tempered by the moderating influence of the Sea of Marmara at roughly 24°C sea-surface temperatures and minimal cloud cover limiting heat retention. With no incoming frontal systems or significant moisture, temperature spreads remain narrow, explaining the closely matched market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C. Updated model runs and local observations through the evening of August 23 will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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