Recent forecasts and climatological data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 24 high, consistent with late-summer norms of 27–30°C driven by typical subtropical high pressure and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this baseline, with limited potential for stronger advection of warmer continental air or enhanced urban heat island effects that could push readings to 29–30°C. The market’s heavy weighting on 28°C reflects trader consensus on stable conditions and historical frequency of such maxima, while lower probabilities for 27°C or 31°C+ capture residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and local wind patterns near the Bosphorus. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 55%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
26°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
55%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
26°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$78 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$231 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$168 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$882 ปริมาณ
19%
28°C
$1,020 ปริมาณ
55%
29°C
$310 ปริมาณ
20%
30°C
$201 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$134 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$70 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$684 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and climatological data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 24 high, consistent with late-summer norms of 27–30°C driven by typical subtropical high pressure and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this baseline, with limited potential for stronger advection of warmer continental air or enhanced urban heat island effects that could push readings to 29–30°C. The market’s heavy weighting on 28°C reflects trader consensus on stable conditions and historical frequency of such maxima, while lower probabilities for 27°C or 31°C+ capture residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and local wind patterns near the Bosphorus. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,940วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and climatological data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 24 high, consistent with late-summer norms of 27–30°C driven by typical subtropical high pressure and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this baseline, with limited potential for stronger advection of warmer continental air or enhanced urban heat island effects that could push readings to 29–30°C. The market’s heavy weighting on 28°C reflects trader consensus on stable conditions and historical frequency of such maxima, while lower probabilities for 27°C or 31°C+ capture residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and local wind patterns near the Bosphorus. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,940วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and climatological data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 24 high, consistent with late-summer norms of 27–30°C driven by typical subtropical high pressure and Mediterranean sea surface temperatures around 24–25°C. Ensemble models show modest spread around this baseline, with limited potential for stronger advection of warmer continental air or enhanced urban heat island effects that could push readings to 29–30°C. The market’s heavy weighting on 28°C reflects trader consensus on stable conditions and historical frequency of such maxima, while lower probabilities for 27°C or 31°C+ capture residual uncertainty in short-range model runs and local wind patterns near the Bosphorus. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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