Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with typical late-summer conditions under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limited extreme heating. This outcome matches the long-term August average high near 31°C and reflects the absence of typhoon-driven warm advection or clear-sky intensification seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 31°C incorporates real-capital assessment of these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to consistent model guidance and station data. Scenarios that could challenge this include revised official corrections or microclimate variations at non-standard sites, though such shifts remain unlikely given established measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$160,726 ปริมาณ
$160,726 ปริมาณ
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$160,726 ปริมาณ
$160,726 ปริมาณ
Aug 22, 2026
25°C or below
$268 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,233 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$12,387 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$31,809 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$22,542 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$38,283 ปริมาณ
100%
32°C
$17,901 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$24,414 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$7,945 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$3,561 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with typical late-summer conditions under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limited extreme heating. This outcome matches the long-term August average high near 31°C and reflects the absence of typhoon-driven warm advection or clear-sky intensification seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 31°C incorporates real-capital assessment of these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to consistent model guidance and station data. Scenarios that could challenge this include revised official corrections or microclimate variations at non-standard sites, though such shifts remain unlikely given established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160,726วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with typical late-summer conditions under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limited extreme heating. This outcome matches the long-term August average high near 31°C and reflects the absence of typhoon-driven warm advection or clear-sky intensification seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 31°C incorporates real-capital assessment of these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to consistent model guidance and station data. Scenarios that could challenge this include revised official corrections or microclimate variations at non-standard sites, though such shifts remain unlikely given established measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160,726วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum of 31°C on August 22, aligning with typical late-summer conditions under moderate southerly flow and partial cloud cover that limited extreme heating. This outcome matches the long-term August average high near 31°C and reflects the absence of typhoon-driven warm advection or clear-sky intensification seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 99.9% for 31°C incorporates real-capital assessment of these verified readings, with minimal probability assigned to outliers due to consistent model guidance and station data. Scenarios that could challenge this include revised official corrections or microclimate variations at non-standard sites, though such shifts remain unlikely given established measurement protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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