Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate daytime highs in Manila on August 23 will likely reach the low 30s Celsius amid the southwest monsoon, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating peak values. Climatological data show August averages near 30–31°C, with daily maxima rarely surpassing 33°C absent strong anticyclonic conditions or reduced rainfall. The market’s concentration around 32°C reflects these baseline patterns plus the latest model consensus favoring modest warming without extreme heat buildup, while lower probabilities for 34°C or higher align with expected convective suppression and rain chances of 40–80%. Updated agency briefings near resolution will clarify any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Manila on August 23?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 23?
33°C 52%
32°C 36%
34°C 5.2%
35°C or higher <1%
$18,620 ปริมาณ
$18,620 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
61%
33°C
36%
34°C
19%
35°C or higher
1%
33°C 52%
32°C 36%
34°C 5.2%
35°C or higher <1%
$18,620 ปริมาณ
$18,620 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
25°C or below
$285 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$335 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$947 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$4,805 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$2,692 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,435 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,360 ปริมาณ
61%
33°C
$1,776 ปริมาณ
36%
34°C
$1,486 ปริมาณ
19%
35°C or higher
$1,425 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate daytime highs in Manila on August 23 will likely reach the low 30s Celsius amid the southwest monsoon, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating peak values. Climatological data show August averages near 30–31°C, with daily maxima rarely surpassing 33°C absent strong anticyclonic conditions or reduced rainfall. The market’s concentration around 32°C reflects these baseline patterns plus the latest model consensus favoring modest warming without extreme heat buildup, while lower probabilities for 34°C or higher align with expected convective suppression and rain chances of 40–80%. Updated agency briefings near resolution will clarify any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,620วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate daytime highs in Manila on August 23 will likely reach the low 30s Celsius amid the southwest monsoon, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating peak values. Climatological data show August averages near 30–31°C, with daily maxima rarely surpassing 33°C absent strong anticyclonic conditions or reduced rainfall. The market’s concentration around 32°C reflects these baseline patterns plus the latest model consensus favoring modest warming without extreme heat buildup, while lower probabilities for 34°C or higher align with expected convective suppression and rain chances of 40–80%. Updated agency briefings near resolution will clarify any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,620วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:59 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate daytime highs in Manila on August 23 will likely reach the low 30s Celsius amid the southwest monsoon, with cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity moderating peak values. Climatological data show August averages near 30–31°C, with daily maxima rarely surpassing 33°C absent strong anticyclonic conditions or reduced rainfall. The market’s concentration around 32°C reflects these baseline patterns plus the latest model consensus favoring modest warming without extreme heat buildup, while lower probabilities for 34°C or higher align with expected convective suppression and rain chances of 40–80%. Updated agency briefings near resolution will clarify any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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