Traders heavily favor a 28°C minimum in Manila on August 23 due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds associated with the southwest monsoon, which limit nighttime radiative cooling in this tropical urban setting. Official PAGASA forecasts project overnight lows near 26°C amid 80% rain chances and temperatures ranging 26–30°C, while climatological August averages hover around 25°C with minimal diurnal swings. Recent observations show elevated nighttime readings from urban heat retention and frequent showers preventing sharp drops below 26°C. Key variables include any late-day clearing or model shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief cooling, though consensus supports a relatively warm minimum consistent with historical wet-season patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 23?
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 91%
23°C 28%
26°C 20%
27°C 20%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
28%
24°C
17%
25°C
19%
26°C
20%
27°C
20%
28°C
73%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor a 28°C minimum in Manila on August 23 due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and light winds associated with the southwest monsoon, which limit nighttime radiative cooling in this tropical urban setting. Official PAGASA forecasts project overnight lows near 26°C amid 80% rain chances and temperatures ranging 26–30°C, while climatological August averages hover around 25°C with minimal diurnal swings. Recent observations show elevated nighttime readings from urban heat retention and frequent showers preventing sharp drops below 26°C. Key variables include any late-day clearing or model shifts in steering patterns that could allow brief cooling, though consensus supports a relatively warm minimum consistent with historical wet-season patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย