Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 24?
28°C 37%
27°C 37%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$15,134 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,134 ปริมาณ
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
37%
28°C
37%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 37%
27°C 37%
26°C 14%
29°C 9%
ใหม่
$15,134 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,134 ปริมาณ
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$315 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$365 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$617 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$2,057 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$1,580 ปริมาณ
37%
28°C
$4,911 ปริมาณ
37%
29°C
$3,485 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$1,099 ปริมาณ
4%
31°C
$111 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$160 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$436 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,134วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,134วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service equivalents and European forecasting centers points to a southwesterly flow advecting cooler maritime air into central Spain, moderating Madrid's high for August 24 to the mid- to upper-20s Celsius range. Cloud cover and a low chance of light showers or drizzle further limit daytime heating, with afternoon maxima most likely peaking near 26–28 °C. This follows hotter conditions on August 23 driven by clearer skies and southerly winds. Trader emphasis on 27–28 °C outcomes reflects the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and the resolution threshold sensitivity around those values, while lower probabilities for 29 °C+ or sub-26 °C outcomes align with limited upside potential and the risk of greater cloud suppression. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact peak.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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