Recent numerical weather models and agency forecasts indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius on August 24, shaped by a warm, humid maritime air mass, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This consensus drives the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as peak temperatures hinge on the precise timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation that could limit afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while model spread in convective details creates the modest tail risk for 33°C or higher. Updated runs and local station observations tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 24?
32°C 46%
31°C 39%
33°C 9%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
39%
32°C
46%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 46%
31°C 39%
33°C 9%
30°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$206 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$57 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$206 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$115 ปริมาณ
7%
31°C
$385 ปริมาณ
39%
32°C
$1,204 ปริมาณ
46%
33°C
$156 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$261 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C or higher
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models and agency forecasts indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius on August 24, shaped by a warm, humid maritime air mass, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This consensus drives the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as peak temperatures hinge on the precise timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation that could limit afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while model spread in convective details creates the modest tail risk for 33°C or higher. Updated runs and local station observations tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,057วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models and agency forecasts indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius on August 24, shaped by a warm, humid maritime air mass, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This consensus drives the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as peak temperatures hinge on the precise timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation that could limit afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while model spread in convective details creates the modest tail risk for 33°C or higher. Updated runs and local station observations tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,057วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models and agency forecasts indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum in the low 30s Celsius on August 24, shaped by a warm, humid maritime air mass, light southeast winds, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers. This consensus drives the near-even market-implied odds between 31°C and 32°C, as peak temperatures hinge on the precise timing of any cloud breaks or precipitation that could limit afternoon heating. Historical August baselines near 32°C provide context, while model spread in convective details creates the modest tail risk for 33°C or higher. Updated runs and local station observations tomorrow will resolve the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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