Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C
5%
19°C
16%
20°C
37%
21°C
31%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 37%
21°C 31%
19°C 16%
22°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$135 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$16 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C
$174 ปริมาณ
5%
19°C
$71 ปริมาณ
16%
20°C
$259 ปริมาณ
37%
21°C
$169 ปริมาณ
31%
22°C
$84 ปริมาณ
11%
23°C
$117 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$72 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C or higher
$70 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,171วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,171วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 24 are the main drivers keeping Mexico City’s daily maximum near 19–21 °C, with market-implied odds clustering on those three outcomes. Mexico City’s 2,240 m elevation and the ongoing rainy-season pattern limit surface heating; thick stratiform and convective clouds reduce incoming solar radiation while evaporative cooling from rain further caps temperatures. Official guidance from regional models shows highs around 19–20 °C under mostly overcast skies and 85–95 % rain probability, yet brief afternoon breaks in cloud could allow shortwave heating to push readings to 21 °C. Traders are weighting these microphysical and radiative uncertainties, producing closely matched probabilities rather than a single dominant outcome. Updated model runs and real-time observations from the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional will be the next key inputs before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย