Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a peak temperature near 21–23°C in Mexico City on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city’s highland location produces a compressed diurnal range, while the ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that often cap daytime heating. Variable timing of precipitation, differences in low-level moisture, and subtle steering flow variations among ensemble members create the narrow spread between 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and earlier rainfall this week have kept recent maxima slightly below climatology, supporting the current trader consensus on the lower end of the typical range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 23?
22°C 31%
21°C 30%
20°C 16%
23°C 12%
ใหม่
$11,376 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,376 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
16%
21°C
30%
22°C
31%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 31%
21°C 30%
20°C 16%
23°C 12%
ใหม่
$11,376 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$11,376 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
18°C or below
$661 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$732 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$1,136 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C
$2,071 ปริมาณ
30%
22°C
$1,852 ปริมาณ
31%
23°C
$1,255 ปริมาณ
12%
24°C
$1,547 ปริมาณ
3%
25°C
$260 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$433 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$475 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$955 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a peak temperature near 21–23°C in Mexico City on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city’s highland location produces a compressed diurnal range, while the ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that often cap daytime heating. Variable timing of precipitation, differences in low-level moisture, and subtle steering flow variations among ensemble members create the narrow spread between 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and earlier rainfall this week have kept recent maxima slightly below climatology, supporting the current trader consensus on the lower end of the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,376วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a peak temperature near 21–23°C in Mexico City on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city’s highland location produces a compressed diurnal range, while the ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that often cap daytime heating. Variable timing of precipitation, differences in low-level moisture, and subtle steering flow variations among ensemble members create the narrow spread between 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and earlier rainfall this week have kept recent maxima slightly below climatology, supporting the current trader consensus on the lower end of the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,376วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models points to a peak temperature near 21–23°C in Mexico City on August 23, consistent with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes. At 2,240 m elevation, the city’s highland location produces a compressed diurnal range, while the ongoing rainy season drives afternoon convective clouds and showers that often cap daytime heating. Variable timing of precipitation, differences in low-level moisture, and subtle steering flow variations among ensemble members create the narrow spread between 21 °C and 23 °C. Historical August averages near 24 °C provide context, yet persistent cloud cover and earlier rainfall this week have kept recent maxima slightly below climatology, supporting the current trader consensus on the lower end of the typical range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย