Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 85–92°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, yet persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest flow are limiting daytime heating along the coast. These conditions, reinforced by a strengthening thermal trough inland, favor afternoon maxima clustered in the low-to-mid 80s rather than the triple-digit readings seen farther inland or in recent heat-wave analogs. Trader consensus reflected in the 82–85°F bins (combined ~68% implied probability) therefore tracks the latest model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind-driven mixing that caps extreme warmth, with any shift in marine-layer depth or wind direction serving as the primary near-term catalyst for market movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
27%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94°F or higher
1%
82-83°F 42%
84-85°F 27%
80-81°F 19%
78-79°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
$92 ปริมาณ
1%
76-77°F
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
78-79°F
$368 ปริมาณ
7%
80-81°F
$359 ปริมาณ
19%
82-83°F
$2,344 ปริมาณ
42%
84-85°F
$347 ปริมาณ
27%
86-87°F
$122 ปริมาณ
7%
88-89°F
$87 ปริมาณ
3%
90-91°F
$82 ปริมาณ
1%
92-93°F
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
94°F or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 85–92°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, yet persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest flow are limiting daytime heating along the coast. These conditions, reinforced by a strengthening thermal trough inland, favor afternoon maxima clustered in the low-to-mid 80s rather than the triple-digit readings seen farther inland or in recent heat-wave analogs. Trader consensus reflected in the 82–85°F bins (combined ~68% implied probability) therefore tracks the latest model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind-driven mixing that caps extreme warmth, with any shift in marine-layer depth or wind direction serving as the primary near-term catalyst for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,898วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 85–92°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, yet persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest flow are limiting daytime heating along the coast. These conditions, reinforced by a strengthening thermal trough inland, favor afternoon maxima clustered in the low-to-mid 80s rather than the triple-digit readings seen farther inland or in recent heat-wave analogs. Trader consensus reflected in the 82–85°F bins (combined ~68% implied probability) therefore tracks the latest model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind-driven mixing that caps extreme warmth, with any shift in marine-layer depth or wind direction serving as the primary near-term catalyst for market movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,898วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a high near 85–92°F for downtown Los Angeles on August 24, 2026, yet persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest flow are limiting daytime heating along the coast. These conditions, reinforced by a strengthening thermal trough inland, favor afternoon maxima clustered in the low-to-mid 80s rather than the triple-digit readings seen farther inland or in recent heat-wave analogs. Trader consensus reflected in the 82–85°F bins (combined ~68% implied probability) therefore tracks the latest model consensus on boundary-layer moisture and wind-driven mixing that caps extreme warmth, with any shift in marine-layer depth or wind direction serving as the primary near-term catalyst for market movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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