Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
92°F or higher 90%
73°F or below 48%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
48%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
36%
86-87°F
36%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
36%
92°F or higher
90%
92°F or higher 90%
73°F or below 48%
84-85°F 36%
86-87°F 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
82-83°F
$4 ปริมาณ
19%
84-85°F
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
86-87°F
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
88-89°F
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
90-91°F
$5 ปริมาณ
36%
92°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Austin show significant uncertainty in overnight low temperatures on August 24 amid a persistent heat dome and potential tropical moisture influences, driving closely matched market odds between 73°F or below and 92°F or higher. Key scientific factors include variations in radiative cooling rates, dew point levels near 70°F limiting temperature drops, light winds reducing mixing, and cloud cover from any incoming systems. Historical August climatology places average lows near 75°F, but recent above-normal heat and model spreads in steering patterns create divergence in projected minima. Updated National Weather Service and NOAA runs ahead of the date will likely clarify the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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