A prolonged high-pressure ridge and heat wave have kept Austin under clear skies with minimal overnight cooling, driving forecasts for an August 23 low near 78–80°F from National Weather Service and model guidance. This exceeds the late-August climatological average of roughly 72–73°F, elevating implied probabilities for 90°F-or-higher and mid-70s-to-low-80s bins as traders weigh limited radiative cooling under southerly flow and high dew points. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the warm minimum, though local variations in urban heat islands or exact timing of the daily minimum introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 23?
90°F or higher 86%
86-87°F 64%
71°F or below 34%
78-79°F 34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
34%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
33%
76-77°F
33%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
33%
82-83°F
33%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
64%
88-89°F
21%
90°F or higher
86%
90°F or higher 86%
86-87°F 64%
71°F or below 34%
78-79°F 34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
71°F or below
$20 ปริมาณ
34%
72-73°F
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
76-77°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
82-83°F
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
84-85°F
$10 ปริมาณ
33%
86-87°F
$25 ปริมาณ
64%
88-89°F
$252 ปริมาณ
21%
90°F or higher
$35 ปริมาณ
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A prolonged high-pressure ridge and heat wave have kept Austin under clear skies with minimal overnight cooling, driving forecasts for an August 23 low near 78–80°F from National Weather Service and model guidance. This exceeds the late-August climatological average of roughly 72–73°F, elevating implied probabilities for 90°F-or-higher and mid-70s-to-low-80s bins as traders weigh limited radiative cooling under southerly flow and high dew points. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the warm minimum, though local variations in urban heat islands or exact timing of the daily minimum introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$342วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A prolonged high-pressure ridge and heat wave have kept Austin under clear skies with minimal overnight cooling, driving forecasts for an August 23 low near 78–80°F from National Weather Service and model guidance. This exceeds the late-August climatological average of roughly 72–73°F, elevating implied probabilities for 90°F-or-higher and mid-70s-to-low-80s bins as traders weigh limited radiative cooling under southerly flow and high dew points. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the warm minimum, though local variations in urban heat islands or exact timing of the daily minimum introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$342วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...A prolonged high-pressure ridge and heat wave have kept Austin under clear skies with minimal overnight cooling, driving forecasts for an August 23 low near 78–80°F from National Weather Service and model guidance. This exceeds the late-August climatological average of roughly 72–73°F, elevating implied probabilities for 90°F-or-higher and mid-70s-to-low-80s bins as traders weigh limited radiative cooling under southerly flow and high dew points. Recent model runs show little disagreement on the warm minimum, though local variations in urban heat islands or exact timing of the daily minimum introduce modest uncertainty ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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