**Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance indicate a peak temperature of 103–105°F in Austin on August 23, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture.** Recent observations from Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry show consecutive days with highs of 103–104°F amid a prolonged heat wave, with heat-index values approaching 108–110°F. Multiple forecasts cluster near 103–105°F, while a few higher-resolution runs reach 106°F; the historical record of 105°F (set in 2010) adds context but is not expected to be exceeded. Market-implied odds heavily favor 104–105°F, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus alongside minor uncertainty in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and hourly observations near peak solar heating remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 23?
104-105°F 57%
106-107°F 38%
102-103°F 6%
108-109°F 2.0%
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
57%
106-107°F
38%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 57%
106-107°F 38%
102-103°F 6%
108-109°F 2.0%
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,585 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
$299 ปริมาณ
<1%
96-97°F
$463 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$196 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$1,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
102-103°F
$2,558 ปริมาณ
6%
104-105°F
$2,476 ปริมาณ
57%
106-107°F
$3,648 ปริมาณ
38%
108-109°F
$963 ปริมาณ
2%
110-111°F
$948 ปริมาณ
<1%
112-113°F
$281 ปริมาณ
<1%
114°F or higher
$324 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance indicate a peak temperature of 103–105°F in Austin on August 23, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture.**
Recent observations from Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry show consecutive days with highs of 103–104°F amid a prolonged heat wave, with heat-index values approaching 108–110°F. Multiple forecasts cluster near 103–105°F, while a few higher-resolution runs reach 106°F; the historical record of 105°F (set in 2010) adds context but is not expected to be exceeded. Market-implied odds heavily favor 104–105°F, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus alongside minor uncertainty in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and hourly observations near peak solar heating remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,585วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance indicate a peak temperature of 103–105°F in Austin on August 23, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture.**
Recent observations from Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry show consecutive days with highs of 103–104°F amid a prolonged heat wave, with heat-index values approaching 108–110°F. Multiple forecasts cluster near 103–105°F, while a few higher-resolution runs reach 106°F; the historical record of 105°F (set in 2010) adds context but is not expected to be exceeded. Market-implied odds heavily favor 104–105°F, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus alongside minor uncertainty in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and hourly observations near peak solar heating remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,585วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and official National Weather Service guidance indicate a peak temperature of 103–105°F in Austin on August 23, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture.** Recent observations from Austin-Bergstrom and Camp Mabry show consecutive days with highs of 103–104°F amid a prolonged heat wave, with heat-index values approaching 108–110°F. Multiple forecasts cluster near 103–105°F, while a few higher-resolution runs reach 106°F; the historical record of 105°F (set in 2010) adds context but is not expected to be exceeded. Market-implied odds heavily favor 104–105°F, reflecting trader weighting of this consensus alongside minor uncertainty in afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs and hourly observations near peak solar heating remain the key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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