Clear skies and light easterly winds overnight into August 24 are promoting strong radiative cooling over Amsterdam, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting how far temperatures can drop. Multiple models currently cluster overnight lows in the 10–13°C range, reflecting minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual urban heat retention. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air, while historical August minima average near 13°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against slight model spread in minimum temperature, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across 10–13°C outcomes as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
12°C 18%
13°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
2%
7°C
13%
8°C
15%
9°C
13%
10°C
19%
11°C
20%
12°C
18%
13°C
18%
14°C
7%
15°C
6%
16°C or higher
4%
11°C 20%
10°C 19%
12°C 18%
13°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
6°C or below
$95 ปริมาณ
2%
7°C
$60 ปริมาณ
13%
8°C
$5 ปริมาณ
15%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
14°C
$142 ปริมาณ
7%
15°C
$14 ปริมาณ
6%
16°C or higher
$146 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light easterly winds overnight into August 24 are promoting strong radiative cooling over Amsterdam, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting how far temperatures can drop. Multiple models currently cluster overnight lows in the 10–13°C range, reflecting minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual urban heat retention. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air, while historical August minima average near 13°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against slight model spread in minimum temperature, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across 10–13°C outcomes as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$463วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light easterly winds overnight into August 24 are promoting strong radiative cooling over Amsterdam, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting how far temperatures can drop. Multiple models currently cluster overnight lows in the 10–13°C range, reflecting minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual urban heat retention. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air, while historical August minima average near 13°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against slight model spread in minimum temperature, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across 10–13°C outcomes as resolution approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$463วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and light easterly winds overnight into August 24 are promoting strong radiative cooling over Amsterdam, with dew points near 10–11°C limiting how far temperatures can drop. Multiple models currently cluster overnight lows in the 10–13°C range, reflecting minor differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and residual urban heat retention. High pressure maintains stable conditions without significant advection of warmer air, while historical August minima average near 13°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors against slight model spread in minimum temperature, keeping probabilities tightly distributed across 10–13°C outcomes as resolution approaches.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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