Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Amsterdam's August 24 maximum near 21–22 °C under a northerly flow around high pressure, with limited diurnal heating expected from partial cloud cover and North Sea moderation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering between 21 °C and 22 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks could shift the observed peak by a degree. Historical late-August averages hover around 21 °C, providing context for why traders assign only modest probability to outcomes above 23 °C or below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of August 23 will further refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 24?
22°C 39%
21°C 36%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
12%
21°C
36%
22°C
39%
23°C
11%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
22°C 39%
21°C 36%
20°C 12%
23°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$24 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$102 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$375 ปริมาณ
12%
21°C
$145 ปริมาณ
36%
22°C
$894 ปริมาณ
39%
23°C
$254 ปริมาณ
11%
24°C
$39 ปริมาณ
4%
25°C
$56 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$11 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Amsterdam's August 24 maximum near 21–22 °C under a northerly flow around high pressure, with limited diurnal heating expected from partial cloud cover and North Sea moderation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering between 21 °C and 22 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks could shift the observed peak by a degree. Historical late-August averages hover around 21 °C, providing context for why traders assign only modest probability to outcomes above 23 °C or below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of August 23 will further refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,192วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Amsterdam's August 24 maximum near 21–22 °C under a northerly flow around high pressure, with limited diurnal heating expected from partial cloud cover and North Sea moderation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering between 21 °C and 22 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks could shift the observed peak by a degree. Historical late-August averages hover around 21 °C, providing context for why traders assign only modest probability to outcomes above 23 °C or below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of August 23 will further refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,192วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models place Amsterdam's August 24 maximum near 21–22 °C under a northerly flow around high pressure, with limited diurnal heating expected from partial cloud cover and North Sea moderation. These conditions explain the tight market clustering between 21 °C and 22 °C, as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any thin cloud decks could shift the observed peak by a degree. Historical late-August averages hover around 21 °C, providing context for why traders assign only modest probability to outcomes above 23 °C or below 20 °C. Updated model runs and surface observations through the evening of August 23 will further refine the consensus ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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