**Official forecasts from Environment Canada position 21°C as the most likely daily high for Toronto on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 47% implied probability.** The agency’s detailed forecast calls for cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, yielding a high of 21°C (humidex 25) and normals of 25°C max. This reflects moderation from a persistent weather system delivering variable rainfall and cloud cover across southern Ontario. Supporting model guidance and recent observations show temperatures tracking below late-August climatology due to reduced solar heating and ongoing precipitation. A special weather statement highlights locally significant rainfall potential through Sunday morning, with rates up to 40 mm per hour in places, which further caps daytime warming. Nearby agency and private forecasts cluster in the 20–22°C range, producing the observed market distribution (22°C at 26.5%, 20°C at 21%) and leaving only slim odds for outliers above 23°C or below 19°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, which favor this narrow band while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variable shower timing and intensity. Updated model runs or real-time observations on the day could still shift the exact high within that cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
21°C 47%
22°C 25%
20°C 22%
23°C 4.0%
ใหม่
$20,345 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,345 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
22%
21°C
47%
22°C
25%
23°C
4%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 47%
22°C 25%
20°C 22%
23°C 4.0%
ใหม่
$20,345 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,345 ปริมาณ
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$771 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$2,075 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$696 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$5,341 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,749 ปริมาณ
4%
20°C
$2,980 ปริมาณ
22%
21°C
$1,811 ปริมาณ
47%
22°C
$2,472 ปริมาณ
25%
23°C
$959 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$840 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C or higher
$652 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada position 21°C as the most likely daily high for Toronto on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 47% implied probability.** The agency’s detailed forecast calls for cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, yielding a high of 21°C (humidex 25) and normals of 25°C max. This reflects moderation from a persistent weather system delivering variable rainfall and cloud cover across southern Ontario.
Supporting model guidance and recent observations show temperatures tracking below late-August climatology due to reduced solar heating and ongoing precipitation. A special weather statement highlights locally significant rainfall potential through Sunday morning, with rates up to 40 mm per hour in places, which further caps daytime warming. Nearby agency and private forecasts cluster in the 20–22°C range, producing the observed market distribution (22°C at 26.5%, 20°C at 21%) and leaving only slim odds for outliers above 23°C or below 19°C.
Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, which favor this narrow band while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variable shower timing and intensity. Updated model runs or real-time observations on the day could still shift the exact high within that cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from Environment Canada position 21°C as the most likely daily high for Toronto on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 47% implied probability.** The agency’s detailed forecast calls for cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, yielding a high of 21°C (humidex 25) and normals of 25°C max. This reflects moderation from a persistent weather system delivering variable rainfall and cloud cover across southern Ontario.
Supporting model guidance and recent observations show temperatures tracking below late-August climatology due to reduced solar heating and ongoing precipitation. A special weather statement highlights locally significant rainfall potential through Sunday morning, with rates up to 40 mm per hour in places, which further caps daytime warming. Nearby agency and private forecasts cluster in the 20–22°C range, producing the observed market distribution (22°C at 26.5%, 20°C at 21%) and leaving only slim odds for outliers above 23°C or below 19°C.
Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, which favor this narrow band while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variable shower timing and intensity. Updated model runs or real-time observations on the day could still shift the exact high within that cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,345วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from Environment Canada position 21°C as the most likely daily high for Toronto on August 23, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 47% implied probability.** The agency’s detailed forecast calls for cloudy conditions with a 40% chance of showers and a risk of thunderstorms in the afternoon, yielding a high of 21°C (humidex 25) and normals of 25°C max. This reflects moderation from a persistent weather system delivering variable rainfall and cloud cover across southern Ontario. Supporting model guidance and recent observations show temperatures tracking below late-August climatology due to reduced solar heating and ongoing precipitation. A special weather statement highlights locally significant rainfall potential through Sunday morning, with rates up to 40 mm per hour in places, which further caps daytime warming. Nearby agency and private forecasts cluster in the 20–22°C range, producing the observed market distribution (22°C at 26.5%, 20°C at 21%) and leaving only slim odds for outliers above 23°C or below 19°C. Traders are weighting the latest official guidance and ensemble consistency, which favor this narrow band while acknowledging forecast uncertainty from variable shower timing and intensity. Updated model runs or real-time observations on the day could still shift the exact high within that cluster.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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