Recent forecast model runs from global and regional ensembles center Chengdu’s August 24 maximum near 34–36 °C, with the spread across solutions explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity, scattered daytime showers, and limited diurnal range that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2 °C depending on cloud timing and wind. Official resolution will rely on the China Meteorological Administration station reading at Chengdu Shuangliu, where urban heat-island effects and basin topography often push observed highs slightly above surrounding rural values. Updated model guidance and any morning observations tomorrow remain the key near-term variables that could shift the final distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 24?
36°C 29%
35°C 25%
34°C 16%
37°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
6%
34°C
16%
35°C
25%
36°C
29%
37°C
13%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 29%
35°C 25%
34°C 16%
37°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
28°C or below
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$145 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$145 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
32°C
$307 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$430 ปริมาณ
6%
34°C
$479 ปริมาณ
16%
35°C
$695 ปริมาณ
25%
36°C
$649 ปริมาณ
29%
37°C
$731 ปริมาณ
13%
38°C or higher
$2,063 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from global and regional ensembles center Chengdu’s August 24 maximum near 34–36 °C, with the spread across solutions explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity, scattered daytime showers, and limited diurnal range that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2 °C depending on cloud timing and wind. Official resolution will rely on the China Meteorological Administration station reading at Chengdu Shuangliu, where urban heat-island effects and basin topography often push observed highs slightly above surrounding rural values. Updated model guidance and any morning observations tomorrow remain the key near-term variables that could shift the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from global and regional ensembles center Chengdu’s August 24 maximum near 34–36 °C, with the spread across solutions explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity, scattered daytime showers, and limited diurnal range that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2 °C depending on cloud timing and wind. Official resolution will rely on the China Meteorological Administration station reading at Chengdu Shuangliu, where urban heat-island effects and basin topography often push observed highs slightly above surrounding rural values. Updated model guidance and any morning observations tomorrow remain the key near-term variables that could shift the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,820วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from global and regional ensembles center Chengdu’s August 24 maximum near 34–36 °C, with the spread across solutions explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those three outcomes. Typical late-August conditions in the Sichuan Basin feature high humidity, scattered daytime showers, and limited diurnal range that can suppress or elevate peaks by 1–2 °C depending on cloud timing and wind. Official resolution will rely on the China Meteorological Administration station reading at Chengdu Shuangliu, where urban heat-island effects and basin topography often push observed highs slightly above surrounding rural values. Updated model guidance and any morning observations tomorrow remain the key near-term variables that could shift the final distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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