Consensus forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, driven by high dew points near 24–25°C, elevated humidity above 80%, light winds, and widespread cloud cover or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where overnight lows rarely drop below 24°C without strong clear-sky subsidence. Recent model runs show minimal overnight drops, with hourly data projecting stabilization around 25–26°C after sunset. Traders assign 78.5% implied probability to 25°C as the lowest reading, reflecting alignment across official guidance, while lower outcomes like 24°C or below carry reduced odds due to the absence of cooling mechanisms such as dry air advection or clear skies. Upcoming hourly observations will confirm resolution near these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 23?
25°C 94%
22°C 31%
24°C 22%
23°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
31%
23°C
19%
24°C
22%
25°C
78%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 94%
22°C 31%
24°C 22%
23°C 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
19°C or below
$145 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$80 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$284 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$112 ปริมาณ
31%
23°C
$39 ปริมาณ
19%
24°C
$57 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$137 ปริมาณ
78%
26°C
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$163 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$150 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$194 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, driven by high dew points near 24–25°C, elevated humidity above 80%, light winds, and widespread cloud cover or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where overnight lows rarely drop below 24°C without strong clear-sky subsidence. Recent model runs show minimal overnight drops, with hourly data projecting stabilization around 25–26°C after sunset. Traders assign 78.5% implied probability to 25°C as the lowest reading, reflecting alignment across official guidance, while lower outcomes like 24°C or below carry reduced odds due to the absence of cooling mechanisms such as dry air advection or clear skies. Upcoming hourly observations will confirm resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Consensus forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, driven by high dew points near 24–25°C, elevated humidity above 80%, light winds, and widespread cloud cover or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where overnight lows rarely drop below 24°C without strong clear-sky subsidence. Recent model runs show minimal overnight drops, with hourly data projecting stabilization around 25–26°C after sunset. Traders assign 78.5% implied probability to 25°C as the lowest reading, reflecting alignment across official guidance, while lower outcomes like 24°C or below carry reduced odds due to the absence of cooling mechanisms such as dry air advection or clear skies. Upcoming hourly observations will confirm resolution near these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,522วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Consensus forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Met Office, and regional models indicate a minimum temperature of 25°C in Chengdu on August 23, 2026, driven by high dew points near 24–25°C, elevated humidity above 80%, light winds, and widespread cloud cover or thunderstorms that limit radiative cooling overnight. These conditions align with typical late-summer monsoon patterns in the Sichuan Basin, where overnight lows rarely drop below 24°C without strong clear-sky subsidence. Recent model runs show minimal overnight drops, with hourly data projecting stabilization around 25–26°C after sunset. Traders assign 78.5% implied probability to 25°C as the lowest reading, reflecting alignment across official guidance, while lower outcomes like 24°C or below carry reduced odds due to the absence of cooling mechanisms such as dry air advection or clear skies. Upcoming hourly observations will confirm resolution near these thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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