Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or subsidence, positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 61.5% implied probability and 31°C at 36%, both above the climatological August average near 30°C. Overnight recovery and humidity levels align with seasonal norms, while the absence of major synoptic shifts keeps higher thresholds like 33°C at just 3%. Updated model runs remain the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 64%
31°C 35%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
ใหม่
$13,073 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,073 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
35%
32°C
64%
33°C
3%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
31°C 35%
33°C 3%
30°C 2%
ใหม่
$13,073 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,073 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$1,442 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$576 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,163 ปริมาณ
2%
31°C
$2,296 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$3,245 ปริมาณ
64%
33°C
$1,139 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$939 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$1,120 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$311 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$326 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or subsidence, positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 61.5% implied probability and 31°C at 36%, both above the climatological August average near 30°C. Overnight recovery and humidity levels align with seasonal norms, while the absence of major synoptic shifts keeps higher thresholds like 33°C at just 3%. Updated model runs remain the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,073วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or subsidence, positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 61.5% implied probability and 31°C at 36%, both above the climatological August average near 30°C. Overnight recovery and humidity levels align with seasonal norms, while the absence of major synoptic shifts keeps higher thresholds like 33°C at just 3%. Updated model runs remain the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,073วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models converge on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C for Tel Aviv on August 18, under stable mid-August conditions with light winds and typical coastal sea-breeze moderation that limits further warming. This narrow ensemble consensus, showing minimal spread and no anomalous heat dome or subsidence, positions 32°C as the leading outcome at 61.5% implied probability and 31°C at 36%, both above the climatological August average near 30°C. Overnight recovery and humidity levels align with seasonal norms, while the absence of major synoptic shifts keeps higher thresholds like 33°C at just 3%. Updated model runs remain the primary near-term catalyst for any probability adjustments ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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