Forecast models from global ensembles currently cluster maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture that promotes cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting afternoon boundary-layer heating. This produces the tight market distribution favoring 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty from local Sichuan Basin topography effects and slight variations in model runs for precipitation timing. Typical August highs exceed 30°C, so the cooler pattern represents a notable deviation supported by recent observational trends and ensemble consensus. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher before daily maximums are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
24°C 48%
23°C 45%
25°C 7%
26°C 2%
ใหม่
$46,464 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$46,464 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
45%
24°C
48%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 48%
23°C 45%
25°C 7%
26°C 2%
ใหม่
$46,464 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$46,464 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
20°C or below
$630 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,804 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$5,566 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$8,153 ปริมาณ
45%
24°C
$6,651 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$2,520 ปริมาณ
7%
26°C
$3,003 ปริมาณ
2%
27°C
$4,457 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$3,196 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,581 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$7,142 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles currently cluster maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture that promotes cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting afternoon boundary-layer heating. This produces the tight market distribution favoring 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty from local Sichuan Basin topography effects and slight variations in model runs for precipitation timing. Typical August highs exceed 30°C, so the cooler pattern represents a notable deviation supported by recent observational trends and ensemble consensus. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher before daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,464วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from global ensembles currently cluster maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture that promotes cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting afternoon boundary-layer heating. This produces the tight market distribution favoring 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty from local Sichuan Basin topography effects and slight variations in model runs for precipitation timing. Typical August highs exceed 30°C, so the cooler pattern represents a notable deviation supported by recent observational trends and ensemble consensus. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher before daily maximums are recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,464วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from global ensembles currently cluster maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture that promotes cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting afternoon boundary-layer heating. This produces the tight market distribution favoring 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty from local Sichuan Basin topography effects and slight variations in model runs for precipitation timing. Typical August highs exceed 30°C, so the cooler pattern represents a notable deviation supported by recent observational trends and ensemble consensus. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher before daily maximums are recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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