**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 18?
30°C 47%
29°C 43%
31°C 8%
32°C 1.4%
ใหม่
$65,286 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$65,286 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
43%
30°C
47%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 43%
31°C 8%
32°C 1.4%
ใหม่
$65,286 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$65,286 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
23°C or below
$667 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$796 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$416 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$8,710 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$7,276 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$19,670 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$5,419 ปริมาณ
43%
30°C
$6,634 ปริมาณ
47%
31°C
$7,380 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$5,834 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C or higher
$2,482 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,286วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,286วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C reflect trader assessments of moderating conditions following South Korea’s early-August heatwave.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for August 18 project a daytime maximum near 33°C under mostly cloudy morning skies transitioning to clearer afternoon conditions, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. Coastal Incheon’s sea-breeze circulation and urban heat-island dynamics in the Seoul metro area typically cap observed peaks 1–3°C below inland maxima, while model ensembles show slight downward revisions from earlier runs. Historical mid-August climatology for the region centers around 29–31°C, providing context for the tight clustering around these outcomes ahead of official daily maximum reporting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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