Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models centers on a maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on 18 August, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, while modest northerly flow and urban heat-island effects introduce small upside risk to 40 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–34 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official 24-hour maximum readings reported by AEMET stations, with any late-afternoon convective cooling or measurement revisions the principal remaining uncertainties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 18?
39°C 48%
38°C 44%
40°C 11%
37°C 2%
ใหม่
$38,791 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$38,791 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
44%
39°C
48%
40°C
11%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
39°C 48%
38°C 44%
40°C 11%
37°C 2%
ใหม่
$38,791 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$38,791 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
34°C or below
$1,174 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$1,622 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$2,647 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$3,633 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$9,614 ปริมาณ
44%
39°C
$8,664 ปริมาณ
48%
40°C
$7,531 ปริมาณ
11%
41°C
$2,033 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C
$942 ปริมาณ
<1%
43°C
$330 ปริมาณ
<1%
44°C or higher
$599 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models centers on a maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on 18 August, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, while modest northerly flow and urban heat-island effects introduce small upside risk to 40 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–34 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official 24-hour maximum readings reported by AEMET stations, with any late-afternoon convective cooling or measurement revisions the principal remaining uncertainties.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,791วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models centers on a maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on 18 August, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, while modest northerly flow and urban heat-island effects introduce small upside risk to 40 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–34 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official 24-hour maximum readings reported by AEMET stations, with any late-afternoon convective cooling or measurement revisions the principal remaining uncertainties.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,791วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Spain’s AEMET and supporting models centers on a maximum of 38–39 °C for Madrid on 18 August, aligning with the market’s near-even split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure and clear skies favor strong daytime heating, while modest northerly flow and urban heat-island effects introduce small upside risk to 40 °C. Historical August maxima average near 32–34 °C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly. Final resolution will hinge on official 24-hour maximum readings reported by AEMET stations, with any late-afternoon convective cooling or measurement revisions the principal remaining uncertainties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย