Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models place Denver’s August 19 maximum near the late-summer climatological normal of 87°F, with a narrow spread favoring the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective initiation and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s while clearer conditions allow brief excursions into the low 90s. A persistent warm air mass and above-average soil moisture from earlier August rains support this narrow range, with limited model divergence on steering patterns keeping extreme outcomes below 4% implied probability. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will refine the peak reading ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Denver on August 19?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 19?
90-91°F 36%
88-89°F 32%
92-93°F 7%
86-87°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
32%
90-91°F
36%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
3%
90-91°F 36%
88-89°F 32%
92-93°F 7%
86-87°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
77°F or below
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$5 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
82-83°F
$4 ปริมาณ
3%
84-85°F
$2 ปริมาณ
5%
86-87°F
$2 ปริมาณ
7%
88-89°F
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
90-91°F
$6 ปริมาณ
36%
92-93°F
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
94-95°F
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
96°F or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models place Denver’s August 19 maximum near the late-summer climatological normal of 87°F, with a narrow spread favoring the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective initiation and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s while clearer conditions allow brief excursions into the low 90s. A persistent warm air mass and above-average soil moisture from earlier August rains support this narrow range, with limited model divergence on steering patterns keeping extreme outcomes below 4% implied probability. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will refine the peak reading ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models place Denver’s August 19 maximum near the late-summer climatological normal of 87°F, with a narrow spread favoring the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective initiation and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s while clearer conditions allow brief excursions into the low 90s. A persistent warm air mass and above-average soil moisture from earlier August rains support this narrow range, with limited model divergence on steering patterns keeping extreme outcomes below 4% implied probability. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will refine the peak reading ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models place Denver’s August 19 maximum near the late-summer climatological normal of 87°F, with a narrow spread favoring the upper 80s under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow. Afternoon convective initiation and variable cloud cover introduce the main uncertainty, as scattered thunderstorms could cap temperatures in the low-to-mid 80s while clearer conditions allow brief excursions into the low 90s. A persistent warm air mass and above-average soil moisture from earlier August rains support this narrow range, with limited model divergence on steering patterns keeping extreme outcomes below 4% implied probability. Updated NWS point forecasts and afternoon model runs tomorrow will refine the peak reading ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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