Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
32°C 52%
31°C 28%
33°C 15%
30°C 1.4%
ใหม่
$80,212 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$80,212 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
28%
32°C
52%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 28%
33°C 15%
30°C 1.4%
ใหม่
$80,212 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$80,212 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$1,852 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$981 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,816 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$22,955 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$18,104 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$11,669 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$6,623 ปริมาณ
52%
33°C
$8,477 ปริมาณ
15%
34°C
$2,832 ปริมาณ
1%
35°C
$2,781 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$1,122 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,212วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,212วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C on August 18 under humid summer monsoon conditions with scattered showers. This consensus, backed by seasonal forecasts of normal to above-normal warmth, positions 32°C as the leading outcome while the risk of cloud cover and rainfall timing suppresses chances of reaching 33°C or higher. Traders weigh how afternoon convection and humidity near 80–90% will interact with the diurnal heating cycle against the backdrop of typical August climatology, where highs average around 31°C but can fluctuate by 1–2°C based on shower intensity. No tropical cyclone influences or abrupt pattern shifts appear in current data, keeping probabilities tightly clustered on 31–32°C ahead of official resolution at the reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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