Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for August 19 under humid subtropical conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak solar heating when cloud cover or precipitation aligns with midday hours, while breaks of sun and seasonally above-normal warmth support the upper end of the range. High humidity limits nocturnal cooling but has less direct impact on the daily maximum, which hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders weigh the probability of thunderstorm development against climatological August averages around 31 °C, with resolution depending on the official observatory recording at its reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
ใหม่
$10,611 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,611 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
13%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
33°C 13%
30°C 12%
ใหม่
$10,611 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$10,611 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,008 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,401 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$1,726 ปริมาณ
4%
30°C
$619 ปริมาณ
12%
31°C
$1,156 ปริมาณ
35%
32°C
$1,700 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$1,487 ปริมาณ
13%
34°C
$608 ปริมาณ
4%
35°C
$440 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C or higher
$180 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for August 19 under humid subtropical conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak solar heating when cloud cover or precipitation aligns with midday hours, while breaks of sun and seasonally above-normal warmth support the upper end of the range. High humidity limits nocturnal cooling but has less direct impact on the daily maximum, which hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders weigh the probability of thunderstorm development against climatological August averages around 31 °C, with resolution depending on the official observatory recording at its reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,611วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for August 19 under humid subtropical conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak solar heating when cloud cover or precipitation aligns with midday hours, while breaks of sun and seasonally above-normal warmth support the upper end of the range. High humidity limits nocturnal cooling but has less direct impact on the daily maximum, which hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders weigh the probability of thunderstorm development against climatological August averages around 31 °C, with resolution depending on the official observatory recording at its reference station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,611วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32 °C for August 19 under humid subtropical conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms. These conditions suppress peak solar heating when cloud cover or precipitation aligns with midday hours, while breaks of sun and seasonally above-normal warmth support the upper end of the range. High humidity limits nocturnal cooling but has less direct impact on the daily maximum, which hinges on the precise timing and intensity of convective activity. Traders weigh the probability of thunderstorm development against climatological August averages around 31 °C, with resolution depending on the official observatory recording at its reference station.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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