Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting strengthening westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and cap daytime warming below late-summer climatology. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, similarly points to a high of 19–20 °C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible morning precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. Model consensus remains high given the stable synoptic pattern, though minor shifts in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing could still differentiate the exact peak within the narrow 18–21 °C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 18?
19°C 30.3%
20°C 26%
21°C 18%
18°C 17.1%
ใหม่
$97,964 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$97,964 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
5%
18°C
17%
19°C
30%
20°C
26%
21°C
18%
22°C
8%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
19°C 30.3%
20°C 26%
21°C 18%
18°C 17.1%
ใหม่
$97,964 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$97,964 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$11,542 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$13,431 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$9,113 ปริมาณ
5%
18°C
$7,563 ปริมาณ
17%
19°C
$8,524 ปริมาณ
30%
20°C
$6,538 ปริมาณ
26%
21°C
$8,789 ปริมาณ
18%
22°C
$7,035 ปริมาณ
8%
23°C
$6,659 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$9,481 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C or higher
$9,290 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting strengthening westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and cap daytime warming below late-summer climatology. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, similarly points to a high of 19–20 °C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible morning precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. Model consensus remains high given the stable synoptic pattern, though minor shifts in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing could still differentiate the exact peak within the narrow 18–21 °C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,964วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting strengthening westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and cap daytime warming below late-summer climatology. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, similarly points to a high of 19–20 °C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible morning precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. Model consensus remains high given the stable synoptic pattern, though minor shifts in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing could still differentiate the exact peak within the narrow 18–21 °C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$97,964วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and German Weather Service (DWD) cluster Munich’s August 18 maximum near 19–21 °C, reflecting strengthening westerly flow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers that reduce solar insolation and cap daytime warming below late-summer climatology. Operational guidance, including AccuWeather, similarly points to a high of 19–20 °C amid mostly cloudy skies and possible morning precipitation, aligning with the market’s tight concentration of implied probability on those three outcomes. Model consensus remains high given the stable synoptic pattern, though minor shifts in shower timing or boundary-layer mixing could still differentiate the exact peak within the narrow 18–21 °C window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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