Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Munich on August 19 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this outcome as the core driver behind the 26.5% market-implied probability for exactly 28°C and the leading 42.5% share for 29°C. Regional high-pressure influence and limited moisture support modest warming from recent cooler patterns, though model spreads and any late adjustments in steering flow introduce uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide baseline context, while traders incorporate fresh observational data and ensemble runs ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Munich on August 19?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 19?
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
$23,826 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,826 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
12%
28°C
26%
29°C
41%
30°C
18%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 41%
28°C 26%
30°C 18%
27°C 12%
ใหม่
$23,826 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,826 ปริมาณ
Aug 19, 2026
24°C or below
$4,032 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,439 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$2,306 ปริมาณ
6%
27°C
$3,777 ปริมาณ
12%
28°C
$2,990 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$4,292 ปริมาณ
41%
30°C
$1,962 ปริมาณ
18%
31°C
$684 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$767 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$845 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C or higher
$926 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Munich on August 19 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this outcome as the core driver behind the 26.5% market-implied probability for exactly 28°C and the leading 42.5% share for 29°C. Regional high-pressure influence and limited moisture support modest warming from recent cooler patterns, though model spreads and any late adjustments in steering flow introduce uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide baseline context, while traders incorporate fresh observational data and ensemble runs ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,826วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Munich on August 19 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this outcome as the core driver behind the 26.5% market-implied probability for exactly 28°C and the leading 42.5% share for 29°C. Regional high-pressure influence and limited moisture support modest warming from recent cooler patterns, though model spreads and any late adjustments in steering flow introduce uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide baseline context, while traders incorporate fresh observational data and ensemble runs ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,826วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 28°C for Munich on August 19 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions with light winds, positioning this outcome as the core driver behind the 26.5% market-implied probability for exactly 28°C and the leading 42.5% share for 29°C. Regional high-pressure influence and limited moisture support modest warming from recent cooler patterns, though model spreads and any late adjustments in steering flow introduce uncertainty around the precise peak. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide baseline context, while traders incorporate fresh observational data and ensemble runs ahead of the daily maximum resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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