Latest forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles show London maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely reaching 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Southerly flow of milder Atlantic air, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a weak high-pressure ridge create tight uncertainty ranges around these values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but include scenarios for slight warming if clearer skies develop or cooling from increased winds and showers. Official observations from the designated London station will resolve the market, with final model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum occurs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 19?
Highest temperature in London on August 19?
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
31%
24°C
38%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 31%
25°C 18%
22°C 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$494 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$312 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$612 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$509 ปริมาณ
31%
24°C
$742 ปริมาณ
38%
25°C
$955 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C
$492 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$241 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles show London maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely reaching 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Southerly flow of milder Atlantic air, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a weak high-pressure ridge create tight uncertainty ranges around these values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but include scenarios for slight warming if clearer skies develop or cooling from increased winds and showers. Official observations from the designated London station will resolve the market, with final model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum occurs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles show London maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely reaching 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Southerly flow of milder Atlantic air, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a weak high-pressure ridge create tight uncertainty ranges around these values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but include scenarios for slight warming if clearer skies develop or cooling from increased winds and showers. Official observations from the designated London station will resolve the market, with final model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum occurs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,116วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF ensembles show London maximum temperatures on August 19 most likely reaching 23–24°C, driving the near-even market split between those outcomes. Southerly flow of milder Atlantic air, variable cloud cover, and limited daytime heating from a weak high-pressure ridge create tight uncertainty ranges around these values. Ensemble spreads remain narrow but include scenarios for slight warming if clearer skies develop or cooling from increased winds and showers. Official observations from the designated London station will resolve the market, with final model guidance and any last-minute synoptic shifts expected to refine probabilities before the daily maximum occurs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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