Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Busan on August 18, driven by persistent warm, humid air from the North Pacific High typical of late summer. Afternoon sea breezes along the coast and variable cloud cover or isolated showers introduce uncertainty that caps extremes, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 98.8% implied probability. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide context, while short-term forecast shifts in convective timing and marine moderation explain the tight clustering around 31°C. Official observations at 1 pm local time the following day will resolve the market based on the daily maximum reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Busan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 18?
31°C 98.4%
32°C 1.7%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$61,825 ปริมาณ
$61,825 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
98%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98.4%
32°C 1.7%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$61,825 ปริมาณ
$61,825 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
25°C or below
$1,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$2,862 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$4,782 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$4,693 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$14,878 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$18,252 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$6,619 ปริมาณ
98%
32°C
$4,256 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$3,040 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$861 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$310 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Busan on August 18, driven by persistent warm, humid air from the North Pacific High typical of late summer. Afternoon sea breezes along the coast and variable cloud cover or isolated showers introduce uncertainty that caps extremes, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 98.8% implied probability. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide context, while short-term forecast shifts in convective timing and marine moderation explain the tight clustering around 31°C. Official observations at 1 pm local time the following day will resolve the market based on the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,825วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Busan on August 18, driven by persistent warm, humid air from the North Pacific High typical of late summer. Afternoon sea breezes along the coast and variable cloud cover or isolated showers introduce uncertainty that caps extremes, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 98.8% implied probability. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide context, while short-term forecast shifts in convective timing and marine moderation explain the tight clustering around 31°C. Official observations at 1 pm local time the following day will resolve the market based on the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,825วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a peak temperature near 31°C in Busan on August 18, driven by persistent warm, humid air from the North Pacific High typical of late summer. Afternoon sea breezes along the coast and variable cloud cover or isolated showers introduce uncertainty that caps extremes, positioning the 31°C outcome as the market leader at 98.8% implied probability. Historical August averages of 29–31°C highs provide context, while short-term forecast shifts in convective timing and marine moderation explain the tight clustering around 31°C. Official observations at 1 pm local time the following day will resolve the market based on the daily maximum reading.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย