**Forecast consensus for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions.** Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the Pearl River Delta during peak monsoon season—support this range, with models indicating limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C earlier in August, consistent with climatological averages near 33°C and no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon landfall altering the pattern. The market-implied probabilities, with 35°C leading at 40.5% followed by 34°C at 30.5%, reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance favoring these thresholds over outliers like 36°C or below 33°C. Updated model runs and official observatory briefings on convective timing will remain key near-term drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 18?
35°C 41%
34°C 34%
33°C 24%
36°C 12%
ใหม่
$30,076 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$30,076 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
20%
34°C
31%
35°C
41%
36°C
12%
37°C or higher
1%
35°C 41%
34°C 34%
33°C 24%
36°C 12%
ใหม่
$30,076 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$30,076 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$236 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$216 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,533 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$4,935 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$4,305 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$1,978 ปริมาณ
4%
33°C
$1,760 ปริมาณ
20%
34°C
$1,980 ปริมาณ
31%
35°C
$1,793 ปริมาณ
41%
36°C
$3,011 ปริมาณ
12%
37°C or higher
$7,331 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions.** Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the Pearl River Delta during peak monsoon season—support this range, with models indicating limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C earlier in August, consistent with climatological averages near 33°C and no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon landfall altering the pattern. The market-implied probabilities, with 35°C leading at 40.5% followed by 34°C at 30.5%, reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance favoring these thresholds over outliers like 36°C or below 33°C. Updated model runs and official observatory briefings on convective timing will remain key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,076วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions.** Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the Pearl River Delta during peak monsoon season—support this range, with models indicating limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C earlier in August, consistent with climatological averages near 33°C and no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon landfall altering the pattern. The market-implied probabilities, with 35°C leading at 40.5% followed by 34°C at 30.5%, reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance favoring these thresholds over outliers like 36°C or below 33°C. Updated model runs and official observatory briefings on convective timing will remain key near-term drivers.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,076วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 34–35°C amid typical subtropical summer conditions.** Persistent high humidity, weak steering flow, and scattered thunderstorms—common in the Pearl River Delta during peak monsoon season—support this range, with models indicating limited diurnal heating due to cloud cover and precipitation. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 33°C and 36°C earlier in August, consistent with climatological averages near 33°C and no strong cold-air intrusion or typhoon landfall altering the pattern. The market-implied probabilities, with 35°C leading at 40.5% followed by 34°C at 30.5%, reflect trader weighting of ensemble guidance favoring these thresholds over outliers like 36°C or below 33°C. Updated model runs and official observatory briefings on convective timing will remain key near-term drivers.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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