Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 19?
27°C 48%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
14%
27°C
48%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
28°C 33%
26°C 14%
29°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$172 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$197 ปริมาณ
1%
25°C
$99 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$411 ปริมาณ
14%
27°C
$2,396 ปริมาณ
48%
28°C
$598 ปริมาณ
33%
29°C
$335 ปริมาณ
7%
30°C
$123 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$242 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$289 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,963วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,963วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological guidance positions 27–28°C as the most probable range for Istanbul’s August 19 maximum because late-summer high-pressure patterns and moderating sea-surface temperatures typically cap daytime peaks near the long-term August average of 28–29°C after earlier heat episodes. Ensemble forecasts show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear skies with light northerly flow, while any stronger southerly advection or reduced cloud cover could push readings to 29–30°C. Traders’ heavy weighting toward the lower half of the distribution reflects model consensus on these conditions rather than climatological extremes, with resolution depending on official Turkish State Meteorological Service observations at central stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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