Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit peak solar heating. This narrow consensus stems from typical late-summer radiative balance, modest warm-air advection, and stable high pressure without strong frontal passages or heat domes. Traders have assigned 55.5 % implied probability to 22 °C and 41 % to 23 °C because ensemble runs show limited upside for 24 °C or higher and negligible downside below 21 °C. Updated model guidance and real-time surface observations through the afternoon remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
22°C 55%
23°C 41%
24°C 5%
20°C 2%
ใหม่
$14,217 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,217 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
55%
23°C
41%
24°C
5%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 55%
23°C 41%
24°C 5%
20°C 2%
ใหม่
$14,217 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,217 ปริมาณ
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
$665 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,612 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$1,091 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C
$1,620 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$2,272 ปริมาณ
55%
23°C
$1,610 ปริมาณ
41%
24°C
$1,926 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$971 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$692 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$1,471 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$286 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit peak solar heating. This narrow consensus stems from typical late-summer radiative balance, modest warm-air advection, and stable high pressure without strong frontal passages or heat domes. Traders have assigned 55.5 % implied probability to 22 °C and 41 % to 23 °C because ensemble runs show limited upside for 24 °C or higher and negligible downside below 21 °C. Updated model guidance and real-time surface observations through the afternoon remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,217วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit peak solar heating. This narrow consensus stems from typical late-summer radiative balance, modest warm-air advection, and stable high pressure without strong frontal passages or heat domes. Traders have assigned 55.5 % implied probability to 22 °C and 41 % to 23 °C because ensemble runs show limited upside for 24 °C or higher and negligible downside below 21 °C. Updated model guidance and real-time surface observations through the afternoon remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,217วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate Moscow will reach a daytime maximum near 22–23 °C on August 18 under partly cloudy skies and light winds that limit peak solar heating. This narrow consensus stems from typical late-summer radiative balance, modest warm-air advection, and stable high pressure without strong frontal passages or heat domes. Traders have assigned 55.5 % implied probability to 22 °C and 41 % to 23 °C because ensemble runs show limited upside for 24 °C or higher and negligible downside below 21 °C. Updated model guidance and real-time surface observations through the afternoon remain the key variables that could shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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