Forecast models from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 21°C for Buenos Aires on August 30 under stable high pressure, light easterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This positions 21°C and 22°C as the leading market outcomes at 49% and 33% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader consensus on typical late-winter diurnal warming from morning lows near 11°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal frontal influence expected to keep temperatures close to seasonal norms around 18°C; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at central stations before any late-day cooling sets in.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 30?
21°C 49%
22°C 33%
20°C 9%
23°C or higher 6%
$14,919 ปริมาณ
$14,919 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
49%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
6%
21°C 49%
22°C 33%
20°C 9%
23°C or higher 6%
$14,919 ปริมาณ
$14,919 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
49%
22°C
33%
23°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional indicate a daily maximum near 21°C for Buenos Aires on August 30 under stable high pressure, light easterly flow, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with negligible precipitation risk. This positions 21°C and 22°C as the leading market outcomes at 49% and 33% implied probability, respectively, reflecting trader consensus on typical late-winter diurnal warming from morning lows near 11°C. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal frontal influence expected to keep temperatures close to seasonal norms around 18°C; resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at central stations before any late-day cooling sets in.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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