**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
$243,481 ปริมาณ

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%

Marine Le Pen
89%

Fabien Roussel
87%

Édouard Philippe
84%

Nathalie Arthaud
83%

Bruno Retailleau
74%

Éric Zemmour
74%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
64%

Raphaël Glucksmann
61%

David Lisnard
62%

Dominique de Villepin
37%

Gabriel Attal
33%

François Hollande
31%

Marine Tondelier
27%

François Ruffin
26%

Sarah Knafo
22%

François Asselineau
21%

Bernard Cazeneuve
21%

Olivier Faure
16%

Juan Branco
15%

Jordan Bardella
13%

Matthieu Pigasse
12%

Sébastien Lecornu
9%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Manuel Bompard
9%

Bally Bagayoko
8%

Philippe de Villiers
8%

Jérôme Guedj
7%

Xavier Bertrand
7%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Gérald Darmanin
6%

François Bayrou
6%

Jean Castex
5%

Karim Bouamrane
5%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
5%

Manuel Valls
4%

Carole Delga
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%

Delphine Batho
3%

Mathilde Panot
2%

Michel Barnier
2%

Valérie Pécresse
2%

Élisabeth Borne
1%
$243,481 ปริมาณ

Jean-Luc Mélenchon
96%

Marine Le Pen
89%

Fabien Roussel
87%

Édouard Philippe
84%

Nathalie Arthaud
83%

Bruno Retailleau
74%

Éric Zemmour
74%

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
64%

Raphaël Glucksmann
61%

David Lisnard
62%

Dominique de Villepin
37%

Gabriel Attal
33%

François Hollande
31%

Marine Tondelier
27%

François Ruffin
26%

Sarah Knafo
22%

François Asselineau
21%

Bernard Cazeneuve
21%

Olivier Faure
16%

Juan Branco
15%

Jordan Bardella
13%

Matthieu Pigasse
12%

Sébastien Lecornu
9%

Michel-Edouard Leclerc
9%

Manuel Bompard
9%

Bally Bagayoko
8%

Philippe de Villiers
8%

Jérôme Guedj
7%

Xavier Bertrand
7%

Ségolène Royal
7%

Gérald Darmanin
6%

François Bayrou
6%

Jean Castex
5%

Karim Bouamrane
5%

Jean-Michel Fauvergue
5%

Manuel Valls
4%

Carole Delga
4%

Teddy Riner
3%

Laurent Wauquiez
3%

Clémentine Autain
3%

Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%

Delphine Batho
3%

Mathilde Panot
2%

Michel Barnier
2%

Valérie Pécresse
2%

Élisabeth Borne
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling at around 32-34 percent and is widely viewed as the frontrunner for his party's nomination, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon confirmed his La France Insoumise candidacy in early May and appears likely to qualify.** Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal have also declared, splitting the center-right and Macronist vote, and Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April. Marine Le Pen's July 7 appeal against her embezzlement conviction and potential office ban remains the key near-term catalyst that could determine whether Bardella or Le Pen represents the far right. A fragmented left, including an October primary, raises the bar for additional qualifiers, and traders weigh these developments against the need for 500 elected signatures and party consolidation ahead of the April 2027 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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