Texas's Republican-leaning electorate and Paxton's decisive May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn keep the Senate contest tight, even as recent polls from Texas Public Opinion Research, Fox News, and Texas Southern University show Talarico edging ahead or tied among likely voters. Talarico's strength with independents and non-college voters has narrowed traditional GOP advantages, while Paxton's attorney general profile and Trump endorsement sustain trader support near 51.5%. The implied probability reflects a toss-up shaped by campaign dynamics, with scheduled September and October debates and November general election turnout patterns likely to determine separation between the nominees.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$664,476 ปริมาณ
$664,476 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
52%
James Talarico (D)
49%
$664,476 ปริมาณ
$664,476 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
$363,661 ปริมาณ
52%
James Talarico (D)
$300,815 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's Republican-leaning electorate and Paxton's decisive May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn keep the Senate contest tight, even as recent polls from Texas Public Opinion Research, Fox News, and Texas Southern University show Talarico edging ahead or tied among likely voters. Talarico's strength with independents and non-college voters has narrowed traditional GOP advantages, while Paxton's attorney general profile and Trump endorsement sustain trader support near 51.5%. The implied probability reflects a toss-up shaped by campaign dynamics, with scheduled September and October debates and November general election turnout patterns likely to determine separation between the nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,476วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Texas's Republican-leaning electorate and Paxton's decisive May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn keep the Senate contest tight, even as recent polls from Texas Public Opinion Research, Fox News, and Texas Southern University show Talarico edging ahead or tied among likely voters. Talarico's strength with independents and non-college voters has narrowed traditional GOP advantages, while Paxton's attorney general profile and Trump endorsement sustain trader support near 51.5%. The implied probability reflects a toss-up shaped by campaign dynamics, with scheduled September and October debates and November general election turnout patterns likely to determine separation between the nominees.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$664,476วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's Republican-leaning electorate and Paxton's decisive May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn keep the Senate contest tight, even as recent polls from Texas Public Opinion Research, Fox News, and Texas Southern University show Talarico edging ahead or tied among likely voters. Talarico's strength with independents and non-college voters has narrowed traditional GOP advantages, while Paxton's attorney general profile and Trump endorsement sustain trader support near 51.5%. The implied probability reflects a toss-up shaped by campaign dynamics, with scheduled September and October debates and November general election turnout patterns likely to determine separation between the nominees.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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