Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with over 93 percent of the vote against minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal elections. The Republican nominee, state Sen. David Brock Smith, emerged from a crowded primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide visibility. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solidly Democratic, reflecting Oregon's partisan voting index and Merkley's established record. Traders' 93 percent consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOregon Senate Election Winner
Oregon Senate Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
93%
Republican
7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$3,065 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican
$1,177 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with over 93 percent of the vote against minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal elections. The Republican nominee, state Sen. David Brock Smith, emerged from a crowded primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide visibility. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solidly Democratic, reflecting Oregon's partisan voting index and Merkley's established record. Traders' 93 percent consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,242วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with over 93 percent of the vote against minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal elections. The Republican nominee, state Sen. David Brock Smith, emerged from a crowded primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide visibility. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solidly Democratic, reflecting Oregon's partisan voting index and Merkley's established record. Traders' 93 percent consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,242วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with over 93 percent of the vote against minimal opposition in a state that has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal elections. The Republican nominee, state Sen. David Brock Smith, emerged from a crowded primary but trails significantly in fundraising and statewide visibility. Race ratings from multiple forecasters classify the contest as solidly Democratic, reflecting Oregon's partisan voting index and Merkley's established record. Traders' 93 percent consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors, though a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment before the November 3 general election could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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