South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 24-point Trump victory in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's limited crossover potential and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican incorporates these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican turnout drop-off, or unexpected personal or legal issues involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
$43,176 ปริมาณ
$43,176 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$43,176 ปริมาณ
$43,176 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$19,733 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$23,443 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 24-point Trump victory in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's limited crossover potential and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican incorporates these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican turnout drop-off, or unexpected personal or legal issues involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,176วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 24-point Trump victory in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's limited crossover potential and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican incorporates these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican turnout drop-off, or unexpected personal or legal issues involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,176วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th congressional district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 24-point Trump victory in 2024. Incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Courtney McClain advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's limited crossover potential and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at 91.5% Republican incorporates these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or major late-cycle developments. A national Democratic wave, significant Republican turnout drop-off, or unexpected personal or legal issues involving the nominee could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural profile.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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