**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched by retired Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has polled between four and eight Knesset seats in surveys conducted since its debut.** Recent results from firms including Lazar, Kantar, Direct Polls, and others show the party typically clearing the 3.25% electoral threshold but remaining in the low single digits, drawing support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit voters. This fragmentation on the right, combined with the party's emphasis on security doctrine, Haredi IDF integration, and broader Zionist coalitions, keeps projected totals clustered around four to six mandates in most samples. The close market pricing across 4-6, 7-9, and lower ranges reflects ongoing polling variance for a new entrant, small-sample uncertainty, and the short timeline before candidate lists close on September 9 and the October 27 election. No single bloc has consolidated a clear advantage yet, and further shifts in right-wing alignments or turnout among reservist and security-focused voters could move the final count.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4-6 44%
7-9 42%
10+ 38%
<4 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
37%
4-6
44%
7-9
42%
10+
38%
4-6 44%
7-9 42%
10+ 38%
<4 37%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$0 ปริมาณ
37%
4-6
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
7-9
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
10+
$4 ปริมาณ
38%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched by retired Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has polled between four and eight Knesset seats in surveys conducted since its debut.** Recent results from firms including Lazar, Kantar, Direct Polls, and others show the party typically clearing the 3.25% electoral threshold but remaining in the low single digits, drawing support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit voters. This fragmentation on the right, combined with the party's emphasis on security doctrine, Haredi IDF integration, and broader Zionist coalitions, keeps projected totals clustered around four to six mandates in most samples.
The close market pricing across 4-6, 7-9, and lower ranges reflects ongoing polling variance for a new entrant, small-sample uncertainty, and the short timeline before candidate lists close on September 9 and the October 27 election. No single bloc has consolidated a clear advantage yet, and further shifts in right-wing alignments or turnout among reservist and security-focused voters could move the final count.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched by retired Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has polled between four and eight Knesset seats in surveys conducted since its debut.** Recent results from firms including Lazar, Kantar, Direct Polls, and others show the party typically clearing the 3.25% electoral threshold but remaining in the low single digits, drawing support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit voters. This fragmentation on the right, combined with the party's emphasis on security doctrine, Haredi IDF integration, and broader Zionist coalitions, keeps projected totals clustered around four to six mandates in most samples.
The close market pricing across 4-6, 7-9, and lower ranges reflects ongoing polling variance for a new entrant, small-sample uncertainty, and the short timeline before candidate lists close on September 9 and the October 27 election. No single bloc has consolidated a clear advantage yet, and further shifts in right-wing alignments or turnout among reservist and security-focused voters could move the final count.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Amcha Yisrael contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Amcha Yisrael merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Amcha Yisrael in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Amcha Yisrael, the new right-wing party launched by retired Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25, 2026, has polled between four and eight Knesset seats in surveys conducted since its debut.** Recent results from firms including Lazar, Kantar, Direct Polls, and others show the party typically clearing the 3.25% electoral threshold but remaining in the low single digits, drawing support primarily from Likud, Religious Zionism, and Otzma Yehudit voters. This fragmentation on the right, combined with the party's emphasis on security doctrine, Haredi IDF integration, and broader Zionist coalitions, keeps projected totals clustered around four to six mandates in most samples. The close market pricing across 4-6, 7-9, and lower ranges reflects ongoing polling variance for a new entrant, small-sample uncertainty, and the short timeline before candidate lists close on September 9 and the October 27 election. No single bloc has consolidated a clear advantage yet, and further shifts in right-wing alignments or turnout among reservist and security-focused voters could move the final count.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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