Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Ra'am winning 4–6 seats, keeping the market tightly contested among the leading outcomes. The party's independent run, following the collapse of Joint List merger talks with Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, has split the Arab vote and limited consolidation gains. Yoav Segalovitz's late-August addition as the No. 2 candidate on a technical bloc has aimed to enhance Ra'am's legitimacy as a potential coalition partner among centrist voters, though surveys since the move have shown limited net impact on seat totals. Mansour Abbas's push to position the party as a balance-of-power force for a government change adds uncertainty around turnout and preference shifts in the Arab sector, while broader bloc competition and the 3.25% threshold create volatility that sustains close probabilities across 4–6 seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6 42%
4 41%
5 41%
<4 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
38%
4
41%
5
41%
6
42%
7
25%
8+
27%
6 42%
4 41%
5 41%
<4 38%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
<4
$0 ปริมาณ
38%
4
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
5
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
6
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
7
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
8+
$61 ปริมาณ
27%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Ra'am winning 4–6 seats, keeping the market tightly contested among the leading outcomes. The party's independent run, following the collapse of Joint List merger talks with Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, has split the Arab vote and limited consolidation gains. Yoav Segalovitz's late-August addition as the No. 2 candidate on a technical bloc has aimed to enhance Ra'am's legitimacy as a potential coalition partner among centrist voters, though surveys since the move have shown limited net impact on seat totals. Mansour Abbas's push to position the party as a balance-of-power force for a government change adds uncertainty around turnout and preference shifts in the Arab sector, while broader bloc competition and the 3.25% threshold create volatility that sustains close probabilities across 4–6 seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Ra'am winning 4–6 seats, keeping the market tightly contested among the leading outcomes. The party's independent run, following the collapse of Joint List merger talks with Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, has split the Arab vote and limited consolidation gains. Yoav Segalovitz's late-August addition as the No. 2 candidate on a technical bloc has aimed to enhance Ra'am's legitimacy as a potential coalition partner among centrist voters, though surveys since the move have shown limited net impact on seat totals. Mansour Abbas's push to position the party as a balance-of-power force for a government change adds uncertainty around turnout and preference shifts in the Arab sector, while broader bloc competition and the 3.25% threshold create volatility that sustains close probabilities across 4–6 seats.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election project Ra'am winning 4–6 seats, keeping the market tightly contested among the leading outcomes. The party's independent run, following the collapse of Joint List merger talks with Hadash-Ta'al-Balad, has split the Arab vote and limited consolidation gains. Yoav Segalovitz's late-August addition as the No. 2 candidate on a technical bloc has aimed to enhance Ra'am's legitimacy as a potential coalition partner among centrist voters, though surveys since the move have shown limited net impact on seat totals. Mansour Abbas's push to position the party as a balance-of-power force for a government change adds uncertainty around turnout and preference shifts in the Arab sector, while broader bloc competition and the 3.25% threshold create volatility that sustains close probabilities across 4–6 seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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