The recent re-formation of the Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—after extended negotiations has introduced volatility into seat projections for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent polls show the list receiving between 6 and 10 seats, with results fluctuating based on Arab voter turnout, sampling differences, and competition from the separate Ra’am slate. Broader bloc competition between pro- and anti-Netanyahu parties, combined with ongoing Arab community priorities such as crime reduction and resource allocation, keeps outcomes closely matched. Higher unified turnout or late shifts in national security dynamics could widen the range toward 10-12 seats, while fragmentation or lower participation might consolidate support nearer 6-8.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว10-11 40%
12+ 40%
6-7 40%
8-9 37%
<6
36%
6-7
40%
8-9
37%
10-11
40%
12+
40%
10-11 40%
12+ 40%
6-7 40%
8-9 37%
<6
36%
6-7
40%
8-9
37%
10-11
40%
12+
40%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The recent re-formation of the Joint List—comprising Hadash, Ta’al, and Balad—after extended negotiations has introduced volatility into seat projections for the October 27, 2026, Knesset election. Recent polls show the list receiving between 6 and 10 seats, with results fluctuating based on Arab voter turnout, sampling differences, and competition from the separate Ra’am slate. Broader bloc competition between pro- and anti-Netanyahu parties, combined with ongoing Arab community priorities such as crime reduction and resource allocation, keeps outcomes closely matched. Higher unified turnout or late shifts in national security dynamics could widen the range toward 10-12 seats, while fragmentation or lower participation might consolidate support nearer 6-8.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย