Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud averaging in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained erosion from its 32-seat 2022 result amid public focus on security management after October 7 and the judicial overhaul. Competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and broader opposition fragmentation has narrowed Likud's projected range, with trader consensus clustering on 20-24 and 25-29 seats as coalition-building math remains uncertain. The race stays tight due to volatile swing blocs among centrists, religious parties, and Arab lists, plus Netanyahu's enduring base versus fatigue over prolonged conflicts. Late shifts in turnout, major security incidents, or alliance realignments before election day could push results toward either tail.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIsrael Election: Likud # of seats?
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,395 ปริมาณ
$102,395 ปริมาณ
Oct 26, 2026
<20
18%
20-24
33%
25-29
29%
30-34
18%
35+
6%
20-24 33%
25-29 29%
<20 18.0%
30-34 18%
$102,395 ปริมาณ
$102,395 ปริมาณ
Oct 26, 2026
<20
$33,123 ปริมาณ
18%
20-24
$15,595 ปริมาณ
33%
25-29
$24,708 ปริมาณ
29%
30-34
$19,721 ปริมาณ
18%
35+
$9,249 ปริมาณ
6%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud averaging in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained erosion from its 32-seat 2022 result amid public focus on security management after October 7 and the judicial overhaul. Competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and broader opposition fragmentation has narrowed Likud's projected range, with trader consensus clustering on 20-24 and 25-29 seats as coalition-building math remains uncertain. The race stays tight due to volatile swing blocs among centrists, religious parties, and Arab lists, plus Netanyahu's enduring base versus fatigue over prolonged conflicts. Late shifts in turnout, major security incidents, or alliance realignments before election day could push results toward either tail.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,395วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud averaging in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained erosion from its 32-seat 2022 result amid public focus on security management after October 7 and the judicial overhaul. Competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and broader opposition fragmentation has narrowed Likud's projected range, with trader consensus clustering on 20-24 and 25-29 seats as coalition-building math remains uncertain. The race stays tight due to volatile swing blocs among centrists, religious parties, and Arab lists, plus Netanyahu's enduring base versus fatigue over prolonged conflicts. Late shifts in turnout, major security incidents, or alliance realignments before election day could push results toward either tail.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,395วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election shows Likud averaging in the low-to-mid 20s, reflecting sustained erosion from its 32-seat 2022 result amid public focus on security management after October 7 and the judicial overhaul. Competition from Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party and broader opposition fragmentation has narrowed Likud's projected range, with trader consensus clustering on 20-24 and 25-29 seats as coalition-building math remains uncertain. The race stays tight due to volatile swing blocs among centrists, religious parties, and Arab lists, plus Netanyahu's enduring base versus fatigue over prolonged conflicts. Late shifts in turnout, major security incidents, or alliance realignments before election day could push results toward either tail.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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