Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig position her as the strong favorite for the open Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Early polling shows Flanagan leading Michele Tafoya by 5-7 points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats 49-41, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and Flanagan's statewide profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya's Republican primary victory has not yet narrowed the gap in surveys or prediction markets. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges in key metro areas, or major campaign events could still compress the margin before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$47,494 ปริมาณ
$47,494 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
9%
$47,494 ปริมาณ
$47,494 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$31,632 ปริมาณ
91%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$15,862 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig position her as the strong favorite for the open Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Early polling shows Flanagan leading Michele Tafoya by 5-7 points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats 49-41, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and Flanagan's statewide profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya's Republican primary victory has not yet narrowed the gap in surveys or prediction markets. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges in key metro areas, or major campaign events could still compress the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,494วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig position her as the strong favorite for the open Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Early polling shows Flanagan leading Michele Tafoya by 5-7 points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats 49-41, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and Flanagan's statewide profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya's Republican primary victory has not yet narrowed the gap in surveys or prediction markets. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges in key metro areas, or major campaign events could still compress the margin before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,494วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's structural Democratic advantage and Peggy Flanagan's decisive August 11 primary win over Rep. Angie Craig position her as the strong favorite for the open Senate seat on November 3, 2026. Early polling shows Flanagan leading Michele Tafoya by 5-7 points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats 49-41, reflecting the state's recent voting patterns and Flanagan's statewide profile as lieutenant governor. Tafoya's Republican primary victory has not yet narrowed the gap in surveys or prediction markets. Late-cycle developments such as shifts in national sentiment, turnout surges in key metro areas, or major campaign events could still compress the margin before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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