The strongly Republican character of Texas's 12th congressional district, with a Cook PVI around R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles including 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election, with limited fundraising or polling momentum evident for the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and structural advantages for the majority party. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs that have not materialized in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-12 House Election Winner
TX-12 House Election Winner
$18,553 ปริมาณ
$18,553 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$18,553 ปริมาณ
$18,553 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,935 ปริมาณ
92%
Democratic Party
$9,618 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican character of Texas's 12th congressional district, with a Cook PVI around R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles including 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election, with limited fundraising or polling momentum evident for the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and structural advantages for the majority party. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,553วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strongly Republican character of Texas's 12th congressional district, with a Cook PVI around R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles including 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election, with limited fundraising or polling momentum evident for the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and structural advantages for the majority party. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,553วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strongly Republican character of Texas's 12th congressional district, with a Cook PVI around R+11 and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles including 2024, anchors trader consensus on a Republican hold at 91.5%. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the nomination after the March 2026 primaries and faces Democratic nominee Heli Rodriguez Prilliman in the November general election, with limited fundraising or polling momentum evident for the challenger. Forecasters rate the seat Lean or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voter base and structural advantages for the majority party. A Democratic victory would require an unusually large national midterm swing, a late-breaking scandal affecting the Republican nominee, or major shifts in turnout among key voting blocs that have not materialized in recent cycles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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