Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, favors GOP nominee Ashley Hinson due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections and her endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump. Hinson secured her nomination with a strong primary showing and leads in fundraising, while Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative and former Paralympian, advanced past his primary opponent and has kept the contest within single digits in recent polling. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages for Hinson alongside Turek's biography and efforts to make the race competitive in a state that leaned Republican by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Upcoming general election developments, including further polling and campaign spending, could influence the outcome before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIowa Senate Election Winner
Iowa Senate Election Winner
$180,830 ปริมาณ
$180,830 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
57%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$180,830 ปริมาณ
$180,830 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$91,343 ปริมาณ
57%
Josh Turek (D)
$89,487 ปริมาณ
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, favors GOP nominee Ashley Hinson due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections and her endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump. Hinson secured her nomination with a strong primary showing and leads in fundraising, while Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative and former Paralympian, advanced past his primary opponent and has kept the contest within single digits in recent polling. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages for Hinson alongside Turek's biography and efforts to make the race competitive in a state that leaned Republican by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Upcoming general election developments, including further polling and campaign spending, could influence the outcome before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$180,830วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, favors GOP nominee Ashley Hinson due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections and her endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump. Hinson secured her nomination with a strong primary showing and leads in fundraising, while Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative and former Paralympian, advanced past his primary opponent and has kept the contest within single digits in recent polling. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages for Hinson alongside Turek's biography and efforts to make the race competitive in a state that leaned Republican by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Upcoming general election developments, including further polling and campaign spending, could influence the outcome before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$180,830วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's open Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Joni Ernst, favors GOP nominee Ashley Hinson due to the state's consistent Republican tilt in recent federal elections and her endorsements from Ernst and former President Trump. Hinson secured her nomination with a strong primary showing and leads in fundraising, while Democratic nominee Josh Turek, a state representative and former Paralympian, advanced past his primary opponent and has kept the contest within single digits in recent polling. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing accounts for these structural advantages for Hinson alongside Turek's biography and efforts to make the race competitive in a state that leaned Republican by double digits in the prior presidential contest. Upcoming general election developments, including further polling and campaign spending, could influence the outcome before November 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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