In Georgia's 14th congressional district special election, a heavily Republican-leaning seat where Donald Trump posted his largest statewide margin in 2024, traders priced the chance of a first-round majority at 61.5 percent due to expectations of vote consolidation among GOP contenders. Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation triggered the March 10 contest, drawing a crowded field that included multiple Republicans alongside Democrat Shawn Harris. Trump's endorsement of district attorney Clay Fuller and the district's consistent partisan tilt raised the prospect that Republican support could coalesce sufficiently to avoid a runoff under Georgia's majority-vote rule. However, the presence of over a dozen GOP candidates created fragmentation risks that tempered outright-winner odds, while limited Democratic opposition helped focus that party's vote. Scheduled primary dynamics and historical patterns in special elections further informed the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว58% โอกาส
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Nov 3, 2026
58% โอกาส
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Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.In Georgia's 14th congressional district special election, a heavily Republican-leaning seat where Donald Trump posted his largest statewide margin in 2024, traders priced the chance of a first-round majority at 61.5 percent due to expectations of vote consolidation among GOP contenders. Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation triggered the March 10 contest, drawing a crowded field that included multiple Republicans alongside Democrat Shawn Harris. Trump's endorsement of district attorney Clay Fuller and the district's consistent partisan tilt raised the prospect that Republican support could coalesce sufficiently to avoid a runoff under Georgia's majority-vote rule. However, the presence of over a dozen GOP candidates created fragmentation risks that tempered outright-winner odds, while limited Democratic opposition helped focus that party's vote. Scheduled primary dynamics and historical patterns in special elections further informed the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$219วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.In Georgia's 14th congressional district special election, a heavily Republican-leaning seat where Donald Trump posted his largest statewide margin in 2024, traders priced the chance of a first-round majority at 61.5 percent due to expectations of vote consolidation among GOP contenders. Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation triggered the March 10 contest, drawing a crowded field that included multiple Republicans alongside Democrat Shawn Harris. Trump's endorsement of district attorney Clay Fuller and the district's consistent partisan tilt raised the prospect that Republican support could coalesce sufficiently to avoid a runoff under Georgia's majority-vote rule. However, the presence of over a dozen GOP candidates created fragmentation risks that tempered outright-winner odds, while limited Democratic opposition helped focus that party's vote. Scheduled primary dynamics and historical patterns in special elections further informed the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$219วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In Georgia's 14th congressional district special election, a heavily Republican-leaning seat where Donald Trump posted his largest statewide margin in 2024, traders priced the chance of a first-round majority at 61.5 percent due to expectations of vote consolidation among GOP contenders. Marjorie Taylor Greene's resignation triggered the March 10 contest, drawing a crowded field that included multiple Republicans alongside Democrat Shawn Harris. Trump's endorsement of district attorney Clay Fuller and the district's consistent partisan tilt raised the prospect that Republican support could coalesce sufficiently to avoid a runoff under Georgia's majority-vote rule. However, the presence of over a dozen GOP candidates created fragmentation risks that tempered outright-winner odds, while limited Democratic opposition helped focus that party's vote. Scheduled primary dynamics and historical patterns in special elections further informed the trader consensus reflected in current pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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