The open-seat contest in New York's Republican-leaning 21st congressional district, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik, positions the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino as the clear trader favorite at 72 percent. The district's consistent GOP margins in prior cycles and rural upstate voter base provide the structural foundation for current pricing, even as Democrat Blake Gendebien secured his party's nomination. Recent June 23 primaries confirmed both major-party candidates, while a new SurveyUSA poll showing Gendebien narrowly ahead has introduced some uncertainty without shifting the broader consensus. Traders appear to weigh historical voting patterns and the district's partisan composition more heavily than isolated polling, consistent with how prediction markets have assessed comparable open House races. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-21 House Election Winner
NY-21 House Election Winner
$56,255 ปริมาณ
$56,255 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
25%
$56,255 ปริมาณ
$56,255 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,804 ปริมาณ
72%
Democratic Party
$29,451 ปริมาณ
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest in New York's Republican-leaning 21st congressional district, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik, positions the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino as the clear trader favorite at 72 percent. The district's consistent GOP margins in prior cycles and rural upstate voter base provide the structural foundation for current pricing, even as Democrat Blake Gendebien secured his party's nomination. Recent June 23 primaries confirmed both major-party candidates, while a new SurveyUSA poll showing Gendebien narrowly ahead has introduced some uncertainty without shifting the broader consensus. Traders appear to weigh historical voting patterns and the district's partisan composition more heavily than isolated polling, consistent with how prediction markets have assessed comparable open House races. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,255วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat contest in New York's Republican-leaning 21st congressional district, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik, positions the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino as the clear trader favorite at 72 percent. The district's consistent GOP margins in prior cycles and rural upstate voter base provide the structural foundation for current pricing, even as Democrat Blake Gendebien secured his party's nomination. Recent June 23 primaries confirmed both major-party candidates, while a new SurveyUSA poll showing Gendebien narrowly ahead has introduced some uncertainty without shifting the broader consensus. Traders appear to weigh historical voting patterns and the district's partisan composition more heavily than isolated polling, consistent with how prediction markets have assessed comparable open House races. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,255วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat contest in New York's Republican-leaning 21st congressional district, vacated by longtime incumbent Elise Stefanik, positions the Republican nominee Anthony Constantino as the clear trader favorite at 72 percent. The district's consistent GOP margins in prior cycles and rural upstate voter base provide the structural foundation for current pricing, even as Democrat Blake Gendebien secured his party's nomination. Recent June 23 primaries confirmed both major-party candidates, while a new SurveyUSA poll showing Gendebien narrowly ahead has introduced some uncertainty without shifting the broader consensus. Traders appear to weigh historical voting patterns and the district's partisan composition more heavily than isolated polling, consistent with how prediction markets have assessed comparable open House races. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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