South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district following the June 2026 primaries, where state Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote and President Trump's endorsement after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades with wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics. A major unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$28,718 ปริมาณ
$28,718 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
4%
$28,718 ปริมาณ
$28,718 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,029 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$7,688 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district following the June 2026 primaries, where state Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote and President Trump's endorsement after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades with wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics. A major unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,718วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district following the June 2026 primaries, where state Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote and President Trump's endorsement after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades with wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics. A major unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,718วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a solidly Republican district following the June 2026 primaries, where state Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with roughly 79 percent of the vote and President Trump's endorsement after incumbent Dusty Johnson opted to run for governor. The Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state where Republicans have held the seat for decades with wide margins. Forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Republican based on historical voting patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments that would alter the trajectory ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched partisan dynamics. A major unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though such shifts remain rare in this environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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