Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-22 House Election Winner
NY-22 House Election Winner
$21,795 ปริมาณ
$21,795 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$21,795 ปริมาณ
$21,795 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,777 ปริมาณ
92%
Republican Party
$11,017 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,795วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,795วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat’s Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent Solid D or Likely D ratings from nonpartisan forecasters, underpins trader consensus on the outcome. Mannion faces no primary opposition, while the Republican nominee advanced with limited visibility and resources. Incumbency advantages, including established fundraising and name recognition in the central New York district encompassing Syracuse and Utica, further reinforce the frontrunner status. A sustained national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or major shift in turnout patterns among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though current indicators show few signs of such movement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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